Piraterna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 10, 2021 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Adam Ellis1 1 1 F 03+2
- 2Tomas H Jonasson2 2 0 0 37
- 3Peter Kildemand0 2 2 3 310+1
- 4Oskar Fajfer1 FX 3 3 3 212+1
- 5Jakub Jamróg2 1 2 2 18+1
- 6Alexander Woentin1 0 1 13+2
- 1Chris Holder3 3 1 1 210+2
- 2Ludvig Lindgren0 1 0 1 24+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 3 2 111+1
- 4Jonas Jeppesen2 3 2 2 09+2
- 5Max Fricke3 3 1 3 313
- 6Joel Andersson0 0 F 00
- 7Gustav Grahn00
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1*
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIRFX
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Alexander Woentin · PIR0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1*
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2*
- Chris Holder · IND1
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2*
- Adam Ellis · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2*
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1*
- Adam Ellis · PIRF
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1*
- Joel Andersson · INDF
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Chris Holder · IND1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Chris Holder · IND2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Adam Ellis · PIR0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–22 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 1 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIR | IND | PIR | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.9 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 5 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Alexander Woentin | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Gustav Grahn | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.