Masarna vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 10, 2021 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 1 3 212+1
- 2Martin Smolinski1 1 0 2 3 18+2
- 3David Bellego2 3 1 2 0 311+3
- 5Antonio Lindbäck3 2 3 1 2 011
- 6Emil Millberg0 0 0 0 11
- 7Alexander Liljekvist00
- 1Viktor Kulakov0 0 2 R 1 03+2
- 3Mads Hansen0 2 3 2 1 210+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 1 1 3 2 19+1
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 3 3 3 3 318
- 6Anton Karlsson0 1 23+1
- 7Noel Wahlquist1 0 34
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1*
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- David Bellego · MAS2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Noel Wahlquist · VAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1*
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Mads Hansen · VAS3
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Martin Smolinski · MAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Martin Smolinski · MAS2
- David Bellego · MAS1*
- Noel Wahlquist · VAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- David Bellego · MAS2*
- Mads Hansen · VAS1
- Viktor Kulakov · VASR
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Martin Smolinski · MAS3
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS2
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS1*
- David Bellego · MAS0
- Noel Wahlquist · VAS3
- Anton Karlsson · VAS2*
- Emil Millberg · MAS1
- Alexander Liljekvist · MAS0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h S
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| MAS | VAS | MAS | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 14.6 | 18 | +3.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Noel Wahlquist | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| David Bellego | 6 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Martin Smolinski | 6 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Emil Millberg | 5 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Alexander Liljekvist | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 6 | 11.0 | 3 | -8.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.