Dackarna Målilla vs Masarna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 8, 2021 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski3 3 3 2 314
- 2Frederik Jakobsen0 1 2 1 37+2
- 3Rasmus Jensen3 2 2 2 312+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell2 1 3 1 18+3
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 2 3 112
- 6Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 0 1 0 12+1
- 1Piotr Pawlicki2 3 3 3 3 216
- 2Marcin Nowak1 0 0 23+1
- 3Antonio Lindbäck1 1 1 0 25+1
- 4Francis Gusts0 2 0 0 02
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 1 1 05+2
- 6Philip Hellström Bängs2 0 0 2 04
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS2
- Marcin Nowak · MAS1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
- Marcin Nowak · MAS0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Francis Gusts · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC1*
- Marcin Nowak · MAS0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1*
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC3
- Marcin Nowak · MAS2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC1
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS2
- Jason Doyle · DAC1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–25 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAC | MAS | DAC | MAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.1 | 16 | +4.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 5 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 5 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 12.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.