Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 10, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 0 3 R6+1
- 2Grigorij Laguta2 1 2 2 310+2
- 3Gleb Chugunov2 2 1 3 19+1
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs1 0 2 1 26+1
- 5Pontus Aspgren1 3 3 2 211+2
- 6Maximilian Belsing00
- 7Johannes Stark2 0 1 14+2
- 1Maciej Janowski3 1 1 0 27+2
- 2Luke Becker0 3 2 0 38
- 3Tai Woffinden0 2 3 2 07
- 4Jacob Thorssell3 1 1 1 39+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 113
- 6Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 0 0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Luke Becker · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Tai Woffinden · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Johannes Stark · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Luke Becker · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Luke Becker · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Tai Woffinden · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Luke Becker · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
- Luke Becker · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SMER
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Jason Doyle · DAC1
- Tai Woffinden · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–20 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h S
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SME | DAC | SME | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Johannes Stark | 4 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Maximilian Belsing | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.