Piraterna Speedway vs Lejonen

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, July 29, 2021 · Fornås Arena, Motala

Results

PIR 44 : 46 LEJ

PIR

1Jakub Jamróg2 3 2 2 110+1
2Tomas H Jonasson0 0 1 0 12+2
3Peter Kildemand1 2 3 1 29+2
4Jonas Seifert-Salk2 0 2 1 38+2
5Oskar Fajfer1 3 2 2 210+1
6Rasmus Broberg2 1 0 0 25

LEJ

1Rohan Tungate3 3 3 3 2 317+1
3Mathias Thörnblom0 FX 0 00
4Jakub Miśkowiak3 1 2 3 3 012
5Grzegorz Walasek3 1 0 3 07+1
6Linus Eklöf0 2 1 1 FX 15
7Casper Henriksson1 1 35

Heat by heat

Heat 157.40 s2:4

Heat 257.50 s3:3

Heat 357.90 s3:3

Grzegorz Walasek · LEJ3
Rasmus Broberg · PIR2
Oskar Fajfer · PIR1*
Linus Eklöf · LEJ0

Heat 456.70 s2:4

Heat 54:2

Heat 657.70 s3:3

Heat 757.20 s2:4

Heat 857.10 s3:3

Heat 958.40 s5:1

Heat 1057.30 s3:3

Heat 1158.40 s2:4

Heat 1257.50 s1:5

Heat 1358.30 s3:3

Heat 1457.50 s5:1

Heat 1558.20 s3:3

Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
Jakub Jamróg · PIR1*
Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ0

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 13–21 °C; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Wind: 22 km/h SW; gusts up to 43 km/h; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 69 %; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	PIR	LEJ	PIR	LEJ

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead PIR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-4	32 %
8	-4	35 %
9	0	56 %
10	0	56 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-2	23 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Rohan Tungate	6	11.6	17	+5.4
Jonas Seifert-Salk	5	4.9	8	+3.1
Rasmus Broberg	5	2.4	5	+2.6
Casper Henriksson	3	2.4	5	+2.6
Jakub Jamróg	5	8.0	10	+2.0
Jakub Miśkowiak	6	10.3	12	+1.7
Peter Kildemand	5	8.9	9	+0.1
Oskar Fajfer	5	10.9	10	-0.9
Linus Eklöf	6	7.1	5	-2.1
Grzegorz Walasek	5	11.3	7	-4.3
Tomas H Jonasson	5	6.6	2	-4.6
Mathias Thörnblom	4	5.6	0	-5.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 58.4056.70 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.0:27.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source