Eskilstuna Smederna vs Masarna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 27, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 3 112+1
- 2Kacper Woryna3 1 2 2 210+3
- 3Gleb Chugunov1 R 3 3 310
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 2 2 313+2
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 3 1 29
- 6Maximilian Belsing0 0 00
- 7Johannes Stark1 0 12
- 1Piotr Pawlicki1 1 3 3 0 210+1
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki0 2 2 1 2 07+2
- 3Martin Smolinski0 2 1 0 36
- 4Philip Hellström Bängs2 1 0 1 04+1
- 5David Bellego2 2 1 1 17
- 6Alexander Liljekvist00
- 7Emil MillbergR 00
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Martin Smolinski · MAS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Emil Millberg · MASR
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS1*
- Gleb Chugunov · SMER
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Martin Smolinski · MAS2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- David Bellego · MAS1
- Alexander Liljekvist · MAS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Martin Smolinski · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- David Bellego · MAS1
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS0
- Martin Smolinski · MAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2*
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- David Bellego · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21–30 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h E
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| SME | MAS | SME | MAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 5 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Alexander Liljekvist | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Emil Millberg | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Martin Smolinski | 5 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Maximilian Belsing | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 12.3 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 9.7 | 7 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.