Eskilstuna Smederna vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, July 22, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 3 1 29+2
- 2Kacper Woryna3 3 0 2 311+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov2 3 3 3 213+2
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs3 1 0 2 28
- 5Pontus Aspgren2 2 3 2 09
- 6Johannes Stark0 0 1 1 02+1
- 1Viktor Kulakov1 2 0 2 0 38
- 2Bartosz Smektała0 0 00
- 3Paweł Przedpełski0 3 2 3 1 09
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 1 1 1 3 18+1
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 2 2 1 3 112+1
- 6Anton Karlsson1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS2
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1*
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS2
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Viktor Kulakov · VAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Vadim Tarasenko · VAS1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS1
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20–27 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SME | VAS | SME | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 5.5 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Johannes Stark | 5 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 13.3 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 6 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 4.6 | 0 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.