Kumla Indianerna vs Masarna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, July 22, 2021 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla

Results

IND 45 : 45 MAS

IND

1Chris Holder1 3 3 2 09
2Jonatan Grahn0 1 0 12+1
3Jonas Jeppesen2 1 2 2 07+2
4Grzegorz Zengota3 3 3 1 111+1
5Max Fricke2 3 2 1 311+1
6Ludvig Lindgren1 0 2 25+1
7Gustav Grahn0 00

MAS

1Piotr Pawlicki2 0 3 3 210+1
2Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 1 3 211+1
3Martin Smolinski1 2 2 0 38
4Philip Hellström Bängs0 1 1 1 14+3
5David Bellego3 2 1 3 312
6Alexander Liljekvist0 0 00
7Emil Millberg0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 164.70 s1:5

Heat 264.50 s5:1

Heat 363.20 s3:3

Heat 464.00 s4:2

Heat 564.10 s3:3

Heat 664.30 s4:2

Heat 764.60 s2:4

Heat 864.30 s3:3

Heat 963.90 s5:1

Heat 1065.10 s3:3

Heat 1164.30 s3:3

David Bellego · MAS3
Ludvig Lindgren · IND2
Max Fricke · IND1*
Emil Millberg · MAS0

Heat 1264.70 s2:4

Heat 1365.90 s3:3

Heat 1464.60 s3:3

Heat 1565.30 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Clear → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 20–27 °C; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Wind: 20 km/h SW; gusts up to 43 km/h; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 51 %; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	IND	MAS	IND	MAS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead IND

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	0	64 %
3	0	64 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+2	71 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+6	92 %
12	+4	86 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+4	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Grzegorz Zengota	5	6.5	11	+4.5
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	8.4	11	+2.6
David Bellego	5	10.6	12	+1.4
Max Fricke	5	10.4	11	+0.6
Ludvig Lindgren	4	4.6	5	+0.4
Philip Hellström Bängs	5	4.5	4	-0.5
Chris Holder	5	9.6	9	-0.6
Emil Millberg	2	0.9	0	-0.9
Martin Smolinski	5	8.9	8	-0.9
Gustav Grahn	2	1.0	0	-1.0
Jonatan Grahn	4	3.2	2	-1.2
Alexander Liljekvist	3	1.3	0	-1.3
Piotr Pawlicki	5	11.4	10	-1.4
Jonas Jeppesen	5	8.9	7	-1.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.9063.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 31.3:28.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −3.03 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source