Masarna vs Vetlanda Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 20, 2021 · Avesta, Avesta

Results

MAS 44 : 46 VET

MAS

VET

1Dominik Kubera3 2 3 0 210
2Victor Palovaara0 1 1 2 04+2
3Brady Kurtz2 3 2 3 313
4Peter Ljung0 00
5Szymon Woźniak3 1 3 2 110
6Filip Hjelmland1 0 1 24+1
7Alexander Woentin1 1 2 15+1

Heat by heat

Heat 157.30 s3:3

Heat 257.90 s4:2

Heat 359.40 s2:4

Heat 458.30 s3:3

Heat 557.60 s2:4

Heat 658.60 s5:1

Heat 758.80 s2:4

Heat 858.90 s4:2

Heat 959.20 s2:4

Heat 1058.30 s1:5

Heat 1158.80 s3:3

Heat 1259.10 s4:2

Heat 1358.90 s3:3

Heat 1458.90 s4:2

Heat 1558.80 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 16–22 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 13 km/h N; gusts up to 28 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 46 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	MAS	VET	MAS	VET

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead MAS

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+2	77 %
3	0	64 %
4	0	62 %
5	-2	47 %
6	+2	74 %
7	0	60 %
8	+2	71 %
9	0	56 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-2	33 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Brady Kurtz	5	9.2	13	+3.8
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	7.8	11	+3.2
Philip Hellström Bängs	5	4.5	6	+1.5
Alexander Woentin	4	3.6	5	+1.4
Dominik Kubera	5	9.4	10	+0.6
Filip Hjelmland	4	4.4	4	-0.4
Alexander Liljekvist	1	0.4	0	-0.4
Victor Palovaara	5	4.5	4	-0.5
Szymon Woźniak	5	10.7	10	-0.7
Martin Smolinski	5	9.4	8	-1.4
Emil Millberg	4	1.4	0	-1.4
David Bellego	5	10.7	9	-1.7
Piotr Pawlicki	5	11.9	10	-1.9
Peter Ljung	2	1.9	0	-1.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.4057.30 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 39.3:24.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.90 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source