Dackarna Målilla vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 20, 2021 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski2 1 3 2 3 112+2
- 2Luke Becker0 2 2 3 3 212+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 2 2 0 16+2
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 315
- 6Sammy Van Dyck1 0 0 0 0 23
- 7Avon Van Dyck0 00
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 2 3 2 013
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev1 0 1 2 37+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov0 2 1 14+1
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs3 1 0 1 27+2
- 5Pontus Aspgren2 1 1 2 39
- 6Johannes Stark1 12+1
- 7Joel Kling0 00
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME1
- Luke Becker · DAC0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Luke Becker · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Luke Becker · DAC2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC0
- Luke Becker · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC0
- Luke Becker · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME3
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC2
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Luke Becker · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19–24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| DAC | SME | DAC | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 6.6 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.6 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Johannes Stark | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Joel Kling | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 6 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Avon Van Dyck | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 14.9 | 12 | -2.9 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.