Dackarna Målilla vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, July 8, 2021 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski3 2 2 3 111+2
- 2Luke Becker0 3 3 2 210+2
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 3 1 3 311+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell3 0 2 2 310+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 315
- 6Sammy Van Dyck0 F 00
- 7Maksymilian Bogdanowicz00
- 1Jonas Jeppesen2 2 2 0 1 29
- 2Joel Andersson1 1 1 14+3
- 3Andreas Lyager0 1 01+1
- 4Adrian Gała2 2 1 0 0 R5
- 5Max Fricke2 1 3 1 2 09
- 6Ludvig Lindgren22
- 7Jonatan Grahn1 0 1 13+3
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Joel Andersson · IND1*
- Luke Becker · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Adrian Gała · IND2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Andreas Lyager · IND0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Joel Andersson · IND1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Adrian Gała · IND2
- Andreas Lyager · IND1*
- Luke Becker · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Joel Andersson · IND1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC0
- Luke Becker · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Adrian Gała · IND1
- Andreas Lyager · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2*
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Adrian Gała · IND0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · DACF
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Luke Becker · DAC2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND1
- Adrian Gała · IND0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Luke Becker · DAC2*
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Adrian Gała · INDR
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Max Fricke · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18–23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| DAC | IND | DAC | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Becker | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 1 | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 4 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Adrian Gała | 6 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Andreas Lyager | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.