Masarna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, July 8, 2021 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Piotr Pawlicki3 3 2 3 213+2
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 3 3 311
- 3Martin Smolinski2 3 1 1 310+1
- 4Philip Hellström Bängs3 1 3 2 312+1
- 5Dimitri Berge2 2 3 2 110
- 6Emil Millberg0 0 0 1 01+1
- 1Adam Ellis2 0 2 0 0 26
- 2Jonas Seifert-Salk0 2 1 0 03+1
- 3Rasmus Broberg0 1 0 23
- 4Jakub Jamróg1 3 1 2 07
- 5Tomas H Jonasson3 2 2 1 3 112
- 6William Björling1 0 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Adam Ellis · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS3
- Martin Smolinski · MAS2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Dimitri Berge · MAS2
- William Björling · PIR1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Martin Smolinski · MAS3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1
- Adam Ellis · PIR0
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR3
- Dimitri Berge · MAS2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- William Björling · PIR0
- Dimitri Berge · MAS3
- Adam Ellis · PIR2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1*
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- Adam Ellis · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Dimitri Berge · MAS2
- Emil Millberg · MAS1*
- William Björling · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- Adam Ellis · PIR0
- Martin Smolinski · MAS3
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR2
- William Björling · PIR1*
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Adam Ellis · PIR2
- Dimitri Berge · MAS1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS3
- Piotr Pawlicki · MAS2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19–25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| MAS | PIR | MAS | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 5 | 4.5 | 12 | +7.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 6 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 12.8 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Martin Smolinski | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| William Björling | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Emil Millberg | 5 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Adam Ellis | 6 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.