Eskilstuna Smederna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, July 7, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 2 0 R5+2
- 2Grigorij Laguta2 1 3 3 312+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov0 2 3 2 1 210+2
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs1 R 3 1 38
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 2 1 3 312
- 6Maximilian Belsing0 0 00
- 7Johannes Stark00
- 1Robert Lambert3 3 2 2 111
- 2Krzysztof Kasprzak0 1 0 3 26
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 3 0 2 07+2
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak3 1 1 0 16+1
- 5Rohan Tungate2 3 1 2 210
- 6Linus Eklöf1 0 1 13+3
- 7Casper Henriksson00
Heat by heat
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ2
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ1*
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SMER
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ1
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1*
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Robert Lambert · LEJ2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ2
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ1*
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Robert Lambert · LEJ2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SMER
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Robert Lambert · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18–22 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h S
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| SME | LEJ | SME | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Casper Henriksson | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 6 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Johannes Stark | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Maximilian Belsing | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.