Piraterna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 6, 2021 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Adam Ellis1 1 1 1 15+3
- 2Jakub Jamróg2 3 2 1 19+1
- 3Tomas H Jonasson3 1 1 2 07+1
- 4Peter Kildemand2 2 3 2 211+1
- 5Oskar Fajfer3 2 2 3 111+1
- 6Rasmus Broberg0 1 0 1 R2+1
- 1Bartosz Smektała0 3 3 3 312
- 2Jaimon Lidsey3 0 1 3 29+1
- 3Philip Olofsson00
- 4Artem Laguta1 3 3 0 3 313
- 5Paweł Przedpełski2 2 2 2 2 FX10+1
- 6Anton Karlsson1 0 0 01+1
- 7Noel Wahlquist0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jaimon Lidsey · VAS3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2*
- Artem Laguta · VAS1
- Noel Wahlquist · VAS0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1*
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · VAS0
- Artem Laguta · VAS3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1*
- Noel Wahlquist · VAS0
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · VAS1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Artem Laguta · VAS3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1*
- Noel Wahlquist · VAS0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Jaimon Lidsey · VAS3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1*
- Philip Olofsson · VAS0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1*
- Artem Laguta · VAS0
- Artem Laguta · VAS3
- Paweł Przedpełski · VAS2*
- Adam Ellis · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIRR
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Jaimon Lidsey · VAS2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Artem Laguta · VAS3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · VASFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20–26 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| PIR | VAS | PIR | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 5 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Philip Olofsson | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Anton Karlsson | 4 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Noel Wahlquist | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 15.6 | 13 | -2.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 13.9 | 10 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.