Kumla Indianerna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 6, 2021 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Chris Holder3 2 1 2 1 110
- 2Ludvig Lindgren0 0 00
- 3Jonas Jeppesen1 3 2 3 211
- 4Andreas Lyager0 1 1 0 02+1
- 5Max Fricke3 3 1 3 2 012+1
- 6Joel Andersson1 0 0 23
- 7Jonatan Grahn11+1
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 2 0 36+2
- 2Grigorij Laguta2 2 3 3 313
- 3Gleb Chugunov3 1 3 1 311+1
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 2 1 29+3
- 5Pontus Aspgren2 3 3 2 111
- 6Johannes Stark0 1 0 0 X1
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND1
- Andreas Lyager · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Andreas Lyager · IND1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Chris Holder · IND1
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Andreas Lyager · IND1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Andreas Lyager · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Chris Holder · IND1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND3
- Max Fricke · IND2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Joel Andersson · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Johannes Stark · SMEX
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Chris Holder · IND1
- Andreas Lyager · IND0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Max Fricke · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21–26 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| IND | SME | IND | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 11.4 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Johannes Stark | 5 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.