Masarna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 1, 2021 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 2 0 F5+1
- 2Philip Hellström Bängs2 1 0 0 03+1
- 3David Bellego2 0 3 2 1 311
- 4Martin Smolinski1 1 1 36+1
- 5Antonio Lindbäck2 1 0 2 16
- 6Emil Millberg1 0 12+2
- 7Alexander Liljekvist00
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 1 3 212+1
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 2 3 310+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov3 3 2 210+2
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 1 28+2
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 3 3 3 113+1
- 6Joel Kling0 0 1 0 12+1
- 7Johannes Stark0 22
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Emil Millberg · MAS1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME2*
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- David Bellego · MAS0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Alexander Liljekvist · MAS0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Joel Kling · SME1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Emil Millberg · MAS1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- David Bellego · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Martin Smolinski · MAS3
- Johannes Stark · SME2
- Joel Kling · SME1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MASF
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h NE
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| MAS | SME | MAS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -16 | 2 % |
| 11 | -16 | 1 % |
| 12 | -20 | 0 % |
| 14 | -24 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Emil Millberg | 3 | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| David Bellego | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 5 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Alexander Liljekvist | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Martin Smolinski | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Johannes Stark | 2 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Joel Kling | 5 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 10.1 | 6 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.