Eskilstuna Smederna vs Vetlanda Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, July 1, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 1 1 38
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev3 1 3 3 212+2
- 3Gleb Chugunov1 3 3 2 312+2
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs2 1 1 3 29+1
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 3 3 3 315
- 6Joel Kling0 0 00
- 7Johannes Stark0 11
- 1Peter Ljung2 0 2 2 1 1 08+1
- 2Victor Palovaara0 2 1 1 2 17+2
- 4Alexander Woentin0 2 0 0 0 02
- 5Tomasz Gapiński3 2 3 2 2 113
- 6Filip Hjelmland1 0 0 23+1
- 7Lucas Woentin00
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME3
- Peter Ljung · VET2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Victor Palovaara · VET0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Alexander Woentin · VET0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET2
- Filip Hjelmland · VET1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · VET2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Peter Ljung · VET0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Alexander Woentin · VET2
- Victor Palovaara · VET1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME1*
- Filip Hjelmland · VET0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Peter Ljung · VET2
- Victor Palovaara · VET1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME3
- Peter Ljung · VET2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Alexander Woentin · VET0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Filip Hjelmland · VET0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · VET2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Alexander Woentin · VET0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET2
- Peter Ljung · VET1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Peter Ljung · VET1
- Alexander Woentin · VET0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Filip Hjelmland · VET2
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Lucas Woentin · VET0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Victor Palovaara · VET1
- Alexander Woentin · VET0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · SME2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET1
- Peter Ljung · VET0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16–23 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 27 km/h NE
- gusts up to 56 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| SME | VET | SME | VET | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 11.7 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Victor Palovaara | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Peter Ljung | 7 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Johannes Stark | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Lucas Woentin | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Alexander Woentin | 6 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.