Piraterna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 22, 2021 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Oskar Fajfer0 2 3 3 210+1
- 2Tomas H Jonasson3 3 1 0 29
- 3Adam Ellis1 0 2 1 37+1
- 4Jakub Jamróg2 2 1 2 07+2
- 5Thomas Jorgensen2 1 2 2 07
- 6Rasmus Broberg1 0 0 1 13+2
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 0 3 112
- 2Kacper Woryna1 3 1 1 1 310+1
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs0 3 2 0 2 18+1
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 2 1 3 3 315+1
- 6Joel Kling0 0 22
- 7Johannes Stark0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1
- Adam Ellis · PIR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Adam Ellis · PIR2
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2*
- Kacper Woryna · SME1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Adam Ellis · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Adam Ellis · PIR3
- Joel Kling · SME2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18–22 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| PIR | SME | PIR | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 3.7 | 9 | +5.3 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 6 | 13.1 | 15 | +1.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 5 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.5 | 8 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.