Lejonen vs Dackarna Målilla

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, June 17, 2021 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved

Results

LEJ 40 : 50 DAC

LEJ

2Mathias Thörnblom0 FX 2 35
3Oliver BerntzonFX 1 1 2 26+1
4Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 2 3 1 2 316+1
5Jarosław Hampel1 1 3 1 2 R8+1
6Linus Eklöf2 0 0 1 03+1
7Casper Henriksson0 22+1

DAC

1Maciej Janowski3 0 25+1
2Luke Becker2 3 3 3 112+2
3Jacob Thorssell2 2 2 X 39
4Frederik Jakobsen1 1 0 3 16+2
5Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 214
6Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 1 0 1 1 03
7Avon Van Dyck11

Heat by heat

Heat 164.60 s1:5

Heat 263.80 s3:3

Heat 364.40 s3:3

Heat 463.70 s3:3

Heat 564.20 s3:3

Heat 664.10 s2:4

Heat 764.00 s1:5

Luke Becker · DAC3
Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
Linus Eklöf · LEJ0

Heat 864.60 s4:2

Heat 963.60 s3:3

Heat 1063.60 s3:3

Heat 1163.80 s2:4

Heat 1264.80 s

Heat 1365.20 s5:1

Heat 1464.00 s2:4

Heat 1564.60 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 20–27 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 13 km/h S; gusts up to 35 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 47 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	6	12	−6	+6
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	LEJ	DAC	LEJ	DAC

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LEJ

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-6	24 %
7	-10	5 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-8	12 %
10	-8	5 %
11	-10	1 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Krzysztof Kasprzak	7	8.6	16	+7.4
Luke Becker	5	6.0	12	+6.0
Jason Doyle	5	12.7	14	+1.3
Jacob Thorssell	5	8.7	9	+0.3
Casper Henriksson	2	2.2	2	-0.2
Avon Van Dyck	1	1.2	1	-0.2
Maksymilian Bogdanowicz	6	3.9	3	-0.9
Linus Eklöf	5	4.0	3	-1.0
Mathias Thörnblom	4	6.7	5	-1.7
Oliver Berntzon	5	8.2	6	-2.2
Frederik Jakobsen	5	8.4	6	-2.4
Maciej Janowski	3	7.8	5	-2.8
Jarosław Hampel	6	11.6	8	-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.2063.60 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 42.0:20.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −0.50 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source