Masarna vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, October 7, 2020 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Antonio Lindbäck1 3 2 0 R6+1
- 2David Bellego2 0 1 1 26+2
- 3Kim Nilsson0 3 2 3 210+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 02
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 2 1 2 310+1
- 6Vadim Tarasenko3 0 3 2 2 313+1
- 7Philip Hellström Bängs00
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 0 0 0 1 37
- 3Pontus Aspgren2 2 3 3 3 013+1
- 4Max Fricke0 3 1 0 3 29
- 5Jonas Jeppesen1 2 2 3 0 19
- 6Joel Andersson0 1 1 1 1 15+2
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Max Fricke · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Pontus Aspgren · IND2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Kim Nilsson · MAS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS3
- Nicki Pedersen · MAS2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · IND2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Pontus Aspgren · IND3
- Nicki Pedersen · MAS2
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Joel Andersson · IND1*
- David Bellego · MAS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2
- Nicki Pedersen · MAS1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Pontus Aspgren · IND3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- David Bellego · MAS1*
- Max Fricke · IND0
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Nicki Pedersen · MAS2
- David Bellego · MAS1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Pontus Aspgren · IND3
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS2
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND1
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND0
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · MAS3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Joel Andersson · IND1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MASR
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND1
- Pontus Aspgren · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12–15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 35.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| MAS | IND | MAS | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 6 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Joel Andersson | 6 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 11.1 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.