Piraterna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 11, 2020 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Peter Kildemand3 3 2 2 313+1
- 2Henrik Bergström1 1 0 0 13
- 3Jonas Seifert-Salk1 0 1 35
- 4Jonas Davidsson3 3 3 3 214+1
- 5Adam Ellis3 1 3 3 313+1
- 6Joel Larsson0 2 2 0 04+1
- 7Rasmus Broberg11
- 1Linus Sundstroem0 2 1 2 3 210
- 2Marcus Birkemose2 FX 0 24
- 3Noel WahlquistR R0
- 4Mads Hansen2 3 3 1 1 010+1
- 5Mikkel B Jensen1 2 2 0 2 18+2
- 6Anton Karlsson2 0 1 14+2
- 7John Lindman1 F1
Heat by heat
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Marcus Birkemose · VAS2
- Henrik Bergström · PIR1
- Linus Sundstroem · VAS0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Noel Wahlquist · VASR
- Adam Ellis · PIR3
- Anton Karlsson · VAS2
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS1*
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · VAS2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1
- Marcus Birkemose · VASFX
- Mads Hansen · VAS3
- Joel Larsson · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · PIR1*
- Noel Wahlquist · VASR
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS2
- Henrik Bergström · PIR1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Adam Ellis · PIR3
- Joel Larsson · PIR2*
- Linus Sundstroem · VAS1
- Marcus Birkemose · VAS0
- Mads Hansen · VAS3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- John Lindman · VAS1
- Henrik Bergström · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Adam Ellis · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · VAS2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1*
- Henrik Bergström · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2*
- Mads Hansen · VAS1
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS0
- Linus Sundstroem · VAS3
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR3
- Marcus Birkemose · VAS2
- Henrik Bergström · PIR1
- John Lindman · VASF
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · VAS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1*
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Adam Ellis · PIR3
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR2*
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS1
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16–24 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NE
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| PIR | VAS | PIR | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Davidsson | 5 | 6.7 | 14 | +7.3 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 7.7 | 13 | +5.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Joel Larsson | 5 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| John Lindman | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Anton Karlsson | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Noel Wahlquist | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Mikkel B Jensen | 6 | 11.5 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Henrik Bergström | 5 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.