Piraterna Speedway vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 22, 2020 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Peter Kildemand0 1 2 2 27+1
- 2Broc Nicol1 2 1 0 15+2
- 3Jonas Davidsson2 0 0 24
- 4Jonas Seifert-Salk1 1 1 3 1 18+2
- 5Thomas Jorgensen1 2 0 3 1 FX7
- 6Rasmus Broberg0 F 0 00
- 1Nicolai Klindt2 2 2 28+3
- 2Mathias Thörnblom3 3 3 3 214+1
- 3Robert Lambert3 3 3 3 315
- 4Linus Eklöf0 1 1 13+1
- 5Rohan Tungate3 3 2 311
- 6Kacper Woryna2 0 1 0 36+2
- 7Casper Henriksson0 2 02+1
Heat by heat
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2*
- Broc Nicol · PIR1
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1*
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ0
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIRF
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Broc Nicol · PIR2
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Broc Nicol · PIR1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR3
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ1*
- Broc Nicol · PIR0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR2
- Linus Eklöf · LEJ1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Broc Nicol · PIR1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIRFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–18 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| PIR | LEJ | PIR | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -14 | 0 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -18 | 4 % |
| 8 | -18 | 1 % |
| 9 | -18 | 1 % |
| 10 | -18 | 2 % |
| 11 | -18 | 1 % |
| 12 | -22 | 0 % |
| 13 | -24 | 0 % |
| 14 | -24 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Thörnblom | 5 | 7.7 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 12.0 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 5.3 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Broc Nicol | 5 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 6 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 10.0 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 4 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.