Piraterna Speedway vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 25, 2020 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Peter Kildemand2 3 2 3 313
- 2Tim Sörensen0 FX 1 1 02+2
- 3Jonas Davidsson3 3 3 3 214+1
- 4Jonas Seifert-Salk1 1 F 1 25
- 5Thomas Jorgensen2 R 2 2 28
- 6Henrik Bergström0 1 01
- 7Johan Jensen0 00
- 1Rasmus Jensen3 2 3 3 011
- 2Kenneth Hansen1 0 1 1 1 15+2
- 3Tomas H Jonasson0 2 0 2 2 39+1
- 4Kai Huckenbeck2 3 2 3 0 111
- 6Daniel Henderson3 1 1 2 0 3 111+1
Heat by heat
- Daniel Henderson · ROS3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Kenneth Hansen · ROS1
- Tim Sörensen · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · ROS0
- Rasmus Jensen · ROS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1
- Henrik Bergström · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Rasmus Jensen · ROS2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Kenneth Hansen · ROS0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Tomas H Jonasson · ROS2*
- Henrik Bergström · PIR1
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIRR
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1*
- Tim Sörensen · PIRFX
- Rasmus Jensen · ROS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Kenneth Hansen · ROS1
- Henrik Bergström · PIR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Tim Sörensen · PIR1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · ROS0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Daniel Henderson · ROS2
- Kenneth Hansen · ROS1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIRF
- Rasmus Jensen · ROS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Tim Sörensen · PIR1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Tomas H Jonasson · ROS2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Tomas H Jonasson · ROS2
- Kenneth Hansen · ROS1*
- Johan Jensen · PIR0
- Daniel Henderson · ROS3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR2
- Kenneth Hansen · ROS1
- Johan Jensen · PIR0
- Tomas H Jonasson · ROS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1
- Tim Sörensen · PIR0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Rasmus Jensen · ROS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–19 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h SW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| PIR | ROS | PIR | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Henderson | 7 | 4.5 | 11 | +6.5 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 5 | 8.7 | 14 | +5.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 6 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Henrik Bergström | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Johan Jensen | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Kenneth Hansen | 6 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 7.1 | 2 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.