Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 24, 2019 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 2 3 210
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs2 1 2 16+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren2 1 2 3 19+3
- 4Gleb Chugunov3 3 3 3 315
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 2 0 28+2
- 6Pontus Aspgren3 3 06
- 7Alexander WoentinFX 0 00
- 1Maciej Janowski1 2 1 2 39+1
- 2Piotr Pawlicki0 00
- 3Oliver Berntzon0 3 X 2 16
- 4Jacob Thorssell1 3 1 1 06
- 5Patryk Dudek2 1 1 1 05+1
- 6Frederik Jakobsen2 2 2 3 09+1
- 7Kacper Gomolski1 R R1+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1*
- Alexander Woentin · SMEFX
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Kacper Gomolski · DACR
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Kacper Gomolski · DACR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · DACX
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2*
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 6–15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| SME | DAC | SME | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 8.3 | 15 | +6.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 2 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.