Eskilstuna Smederna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 27, 2019 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren0 1 3 2 39+1
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 3 2 210+1
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 2 3 111+2
- 4Adrian Miedziński2 3 1 06+2
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 1 3 110+1
- 6Gleb Chugunov3 1 37
- 7Linus Eklöf1 1 02+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel2 0 13+1
- 2Robert Lambert3 1 0 3 310
- 3Kacper Woryna0 0 00
- 4Maksym Drabik1 0 2 2 1 28+1
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 2 0 1 08
- 6Mathias Thörnblom0 3 1 04+1
- 7Timo Lahti2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Timo Lahti · LEJ2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · SME2*
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Timo Lahti · LEJ0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Robert Lambert · LEJ1
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1*
- Timo Lahti · LEJ0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Robert Lambert · LEJ0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18–27 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h S
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SME | LEJ | SME | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 3 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 3 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Timo Lahti | 3 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 3 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.