Eskilstuna Smederna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 20, 2019 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 2 1 3 213+1
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 3 1 211+3
- 4Adrian Miedziński1 2 1 3 0 310+1
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 2 2 1 310+3
- 6Alexander Woentin0 2 13+1
- 7Pontus Aspgren2 0 02
- 1Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 3 010
- 2Daniel Kaczmarek0 0 00
- 3Linus Sundstroem0 0 1 01
- 4Paweł Przedpełski3 3 3 2 112+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 3 2 111
- 6Kai Huckenbeck3 1 2 0 06+1
- 7Jonas Davidsson1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Alexander Woentin · SME2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Adrian Miedziński · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Alexander Woentin · SME1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12–20 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h SW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| SME | PIR | SME | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.