Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 13, 2019 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 1 3 2 312+1
- 2Kai Huckenbeck0 3 2 2 07
- 3Linus Sundstroem1 0 01
- 4Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 2 110+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 3 0 28+2
- 6Jonas Davidsson2 3 0 05
- 7Daniel Davidsson0 0 00
- 1Maciej Janowski1 3 3 1 311+1
- 2Piotr Pawlicki2 1 2 16+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 3 0 1 17
- 4Jacob Thorssell0 1 0 3 04+1
- 5Patryk Dudek0 3 2 3 210+1
- 6Kacper Gomolski3 2 16+1
- 7Frederik Jakobsen1 1 13
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR0
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC3
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR3
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC1
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1*
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR2*
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–20 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h SW
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.