Rospiggarna Sk vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 14, 2019 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Robert Lambert1 0 2 2 1 17+3
- 2Erik Riss0 2 1 0 03
- 3Max Fricke3 0 0 1 37
- 4Gleb Chugunov0 11
- 5Andreas Jonsson3 3 2 3 2 215
- 6Tero Aarnio2 1 14+1
- 7Emil MillbergR 0 00
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 011+1
- 2Peter Kildemand3 2 0 16+1
- 3Peter Ljung2 3 0 FX5
- 4Jack Holder1 3 2 2 19+4
- 5Krzysztof BuczkowskiFX 2 3 3 311
- 6Anton Karlsson1 1 13
- 7Mikkel B Jensen3 2 1 28+1
Heat by heat
- Peter Kildemand · VAS3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS2*
- Robert Lambert · ROS1
- Erik Riss · ROS0
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS3
- Tero Aarnio · ROS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Emil Millberg · ROSR
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- Jack Holder · VAS1*
- Gleb Chugunov · ROS0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS2
- Tero Aarnio · ROS1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VASFX
- Jack Holder · VAS3
- Erik Riss · ROS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Emil Millberg · ROS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS3
- Peter Kildemand · VAS2*
- Gleb Chugunov · ROS1
- Max Fricke · ROS0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Jack Holder · VAS2*
- Erik Riss · ROS1
- Robert Lambert · ROS0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAS2
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS1*
- Max Fricke · ROS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Tero Aarnio · ROS1*
- Peter Kildemand · VAS0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAS3
- Robert Lambert · ROS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Emil Millberg · ROS0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Robert Lambert · ROS2*
- Peter Kildemand · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS3
- Jack Holder · VAS2*
- Max Fricke · ROS1
- Erik Riss · ROS0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAS3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Robert Lambert · ROS1*
- Peter Ljung · VASFX
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS2
- Jack Holder · VAS1*
- Erik Riss · ROS0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAS3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Robert Lambert · ROS1*
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 2–11 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ROS | VAS | ROS | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -16 | 2 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -16 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 7.8 | 15 | +7.2 |
| Mikkel B Jensen | 4 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Tero Aarnio | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Erik Riss | 5 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Emil Millberg | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.