Eskilstuna Smederna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 6, 2019 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren1 1 3 2 18+2
- 2Gleb Chugunov2 1 0 3 28
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 3 0 28+1
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 3 1 15
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 1 09+1
- 6Linus Eklöf1 1 02+1
- 7Pontus Aspgren2 0 02
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 0 3 2 19
- 2Kacper Woryna0 1 1 24
- 3Timo Lahti3 3 0 06
- 4Maksym Drabik2 3 2 1 311+3
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 1 3 311+1
- 6Mathias Thörnblom0 2 2 04+1
- 7Nicolai Klindt3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Timo Lahti · LEJ3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · SME0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ0
- Timo Lahti · LEJ3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1
- Timo Lahti · LEJ0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1*
- Timo Lahti · LEJ0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.5 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| SME | LEJ | SME | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.