Västervik Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 30, 2019 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Peter Ljung1 1 1 2 2 07+1
- 2Jack Holder2 3 1 2 2 111
- 3Bartosz Smektała0 2 3 3 0 3 112
- 4Peter Kildemand1 0 1 02
- 6Anton Karlsson2 0 02
- 7Sam Masters1 1 13+3
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 3 1 29+2
- 2Pontus Aspgren3 3 1 07
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 2 1 210+1
- 4Adrian Miedziński2 3 R 3 311+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 05+1
- 6Linus Eklöf0 0 00
- 7Gleb Chugunov3 3 2 311
Heat by heat
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2*
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Anton Karlsson · VAS2
- Sam Masters · VAS1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · SME2*
- Peter Kildemand · VAS1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Jack Holder · VAS2
- Sam Masters · VAS1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Peter Kildemand · VAS0
- Jack Holder · VAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Adrian Miedziński · SMER
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Jack Holder · VAS1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Jack Holder · VAS2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- Sam Masters · VAS1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Peter Kildemand · VAS1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Jack Holder · VAS2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2*
- Jack Holder · VAS1
- Peter Kildemand · VAS0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Rain → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h NE
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| VAS | SME | VAS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 6.5 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 7 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Sam Masters | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 12.3 | 7 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.