Dackarna Målilla vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, May 9, 2019 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Patryk Dudek1 2 0 0 3 39+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen2 3 3 2 0 212
- 3Oliver Berntzon3 1 1 R 2 18+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell0 0 3 3 0 06
- 6Joel Kling3 1 04+1
- 7Kacper Gomolski0 0 22
- 1Fredrik Lindgren3 3 3 3 012
- 2Pontus Aspgren0 2 1 25+1
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 1 1 38+3
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 2 1 28+1
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 2 111+1
- 6Adrian Miedziński1 1 13+2
- 7Mateusz Szczepaniak2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Joel Kling · DAC3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · SME2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1*
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Joel Kling · DAC1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · SME0
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1*
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Oliver Berntzon · DACR
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 7–10 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h SE
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 2.3 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAC | SME | DAC | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 3.7 | 12 | +8.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 13.3 | 9 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.