Västervik Speedway vs Piraterna Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 9, 2019 · Hejla Arena, Västervik

Results

VAS 58 : 31 PIR

VAS

1Peter Ljung2 FX 1 2 38+3
2Jack Holder3 3 3 2 213+2
3Peter Kildemand3 2 3 3 314
4Bartosz Smektała1 0 2 25+2
5Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 3 111
6Anton Karlsson0 0 11+1
7Mikkel B Jensen2 2 26+1

PIR

Heat by heat

Heat 157.30 s5:1

Jack Holder · VAS3
Peter Ljung · VAS2*
Mikkel Michelsen · PIR1
Kai Huckenbeck · PIR0

Heat 257.30 s2:4

Heat 356.80 s4:2

Heat 457.10 s2:4

Heat 557.20 s5:1

Heat 657.30 s2:4

Heat 756.90 s3:2

Heat 857.10 s5:1

Heat 957.20 s3:3

Heat 1056.90 s3:3

Heat 1157.20 s5:1

Heat 1257.20 s5:1

Heat 1357.60 s5:1

Heat 1457.30 s4:2

Heat 1557.30 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 13–18 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 9 km/h N; gusts up to 30 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0.2 mm; Possible showers: a second model has the day dry; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.4 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 59 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	10	7	+3	−3
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	15	3	+12	−12
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	VAS	PIR	VAS	PIR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAS

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+5	90 %
8	+9	98 %
9	+9	97 %
10	+9	96 %
11	+13	100 %
12	+17	100 %
13	+21	100 %
14	+23	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Peter Kildemand	5	6.9	14	+7.1
Jack Holder	5	7.3	13	+5.7
Mikkel B Jensen	3	4.7	6	+1.3
Paweł Przedpełski	5	5.7	6	+0.3
Mikkel Michelsen	5	10.0	10	-0.0
Nicki Pedersen	5	11.2	11	-0.2
Daniel Davidsson	3	3.2	3	-0.2
Jonas Davidsson	3	3.2	2	-1.2
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	9.2	8	-1.2
Anton Karlsson	3	2.2	1	-1.2
Bartosz Smektała	4	6.7	5	-1.7
Peter Ljung	5	10.3	8	-2.3
Kai Huckenbeck	5	4.1	1	-3.1
Linus Sundstroem	4	5.2	1	-4.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 57.6056.80 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 30.0:27.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.98 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source