Eskilstuna Smederna vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 2, 2019 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren2 1 2 3 210+2
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 3 2 313+1
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 3 1 110+2
- 4Adrian Miedziński1 3 2 17+1
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki3 FX 0 14
- 6Alexander WoentinR FX 11
- 7Pontus Aspgren2 3 3 08
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 0 2 3 2 08+1
- 2Anders ThomsenR 1 3 3 0 29
- 3Chris Holder2 R 2 15+1
- 4Krystian Pieszczek0 1 2 03
- 5Vaclav Milik2 1 1 37
- 6Joel Andersson1 0 01
- 7Ludvig Lindgren3 1 R4+1
Heat by heat
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND1
- Anders Thomsen · INDR
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Alexander Woentin · SMER
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1
- Krystian Pieszczek · IND0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Vaclav Milik · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1*
- Alexander Woentin · SMEFX
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · IND1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Adrian Miedziński · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Anders Thomsen · IND1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Krystian Pieszczek · IND2
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1
- Chris Holder · INDR
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · SME2*
- Vaclav Milik · IND1
- Ludvig Lindgren · INDR
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND2*
- Alexander Woentin · SME1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SMEFX
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2*
- Vaclav Milik · IND1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Chris Holder · IND2*
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME0
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · IND0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Anders Thomsen · IND0
- Vaclav Milik · IND3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Chris Holder · IND1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Anders Thomsen · IND2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Rain → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–17 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.4 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SME | IND | SME | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 7.5 | 13 | +5.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.