Masarna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 18, 2019 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Antonio Lindbäck2 1 2 R 2 18+2
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev1 01+1
- 3Vadim Tarasenko3 1 0 04
- 4Oskar Fajfer0 0 11
- 5Kim Nilsson1 3 R 1 27+1
- 6Martin Smolinski3 2 0 2 18+1
- 7David Bellego1 2 3 1 310+1
- 1Timo Lahti1 3 0 37
- 2Kacper Woryna0 2 1 25+2
- 3Kevin Wolbert1 2 3 3 09+2
- 4Maksym Drabik2 3 3 2 313+1
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 2 08
- 6William Björling0 0 1 01+1
- 7Nicolai Klindt3 2 1 28+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Smolinski · MAS3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2*
- Timo Lahti · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ3
- Martin Smolinski · MAS2
- David Bellego · MAS1*
- William Björling · LEJ0
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2
- Kevin Wolbert · LEJ1*
- Oskar Fajfer · MAS0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2*
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1
- Martin Smolinski · MAS0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · MAS1*
- William Björling · LEJ0
- Timo Lahti · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS1
- Oskar Fajfer · MAS0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- Kevin Wolbert · LEJ2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · MAS0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ1
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Martin Smolinski · MAS2*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Timo Lahti · LEJ0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2
- William Björling · LEJ1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MASR
- Kevin Wolbert · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2*
- Oskar Fajfer · MAS1
- Kim Nilsson · MASR
- Timo Lahti · LEJ3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2*
- David Bellego · MAS1
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS0
- Kevin Wolbert · LEJ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- William Björling · LEJ0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Kevin Wolbert · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17–23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h SW
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| MAS | LEJ | MAS | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Wolbert | 5 | 2.8 | 9 | +6.2 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 4.5 | 10 | +5.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Martin Smolinski | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
| William Björling | 4 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.