Masarna vs Vetlanda Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, June 6, 2019 · Avesta, Avesta

Results

MAS 32 : 58 VET

MAS

1Antonio Lindbäck3 2 R 2 M 07+1
2Oskar Fajfer0 R 2 X2+1
3Oleksandr Loktayev0 R 00
4Nicholas Morris1 1 13
5Kim Nilsson2 1 1 3 1 210+1
6Martin Smolinski1 0 01
7Vadim Tarasenko0 3 2 3 19

VET

1Szymon Woźniak2 3 3 1 312
2Dominik Kubera1 2 2 0 38+3
3Andreas Lyager3 3 1 2 110+1
4Filip Hjelmland2 2 0 04+1
5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312
6Victor Palovaara3 1 15+1
7Brady Kurtz2 1 2 27+3

Heat by heat

Heat 158.30 s3:3

Heat 259.00 s1:5

Heat 359.60 s1:5

Heat 458.50 s2:4

Heat 559.50 s3:3

Heat 658.50 s1:5

Heat 758.30 s3:3

Heat 858.30 s1:5

Heat 958.50 s1:5

Heat 1058.70 s2:4

Heat 1158.30 s5:1

Heat 1259.10 s5:1

Heat 1358.80 s1:5

Heat 1458.90 s1:5

Dominik Kubera · VET3
Brady Kurtz · VET2*
Vadim Tarasenko · MAS1
Oskar Fajfer · MASX

Heat 1559.20 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 21–28 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 14 km/h SE; gusts up to 35 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 48 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	7	17	−10	+10
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	4	14	−10	+10
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	3	9	−6	+6
	MAS	VET	MAS	VET

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead MAS

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-8	13 %
4	-10	8 %
5	-10	9 %
6	-14	4 %
7	-14	0 %
8	-18	1 %
9	-22	1 %
10	-24	2 %
11	-20	1 %
12	-16	0 %
13	-20	0 %
14	-24	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Andreas Lyager	5	3.6	10	+6.4
Szymon Woźniak	5	8.5	12	+3.5
Vadim Tarasenko	5	5.9	9	+3.1
Victor Palovaara	3	2.6	5	+2.4
Brady Kurtz	4	5.6	7	+1.4
Bartosz Zmarzlik	4	10.7	12	+1.3
Nicholas Morris	3	3.5	3	-0.5
Kim Nilsson	6	10.6	10	-0.6
Filip Hjelmland	4	4.6	4	-0.6
Dominik Kubera	5	9.3	8	-1.3
Martin Smolinski	3	3.5	1	-2.5
Antonio Lindbäck	6	10.1	7	-3.1
Oleksandr Loktayev	3	4.2	0	-4.2
Oskar Fajfer	4	7.2	2	-5.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.6058.30 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 33.7:27.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.10 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source