Västervik Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 4, 2019 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Peter Ljung3 R 2 2 310+1
- 2Jack Holder2 3 1 2 08+2
- 3Bartosz Smektała2 3 3 3 112
- 4Sam Masters1 1 2 26+3
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 314+1
- 6Anton Karlsson3 3 06
- 7Mikkel B Jensen0 1 12+1
- 1Oliver Berntzon1 0 1 R 24+1
- 2Jacob Thorssell0 2 2 1 16+1
- 3Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 19+1
- 4Vaclav Milik0 2 3 1 06
- 5Patryk Dudek0 1 01
- 6Frederik Jakobsen2 0 02
- 7Joel Kling1 1 0 24+1
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Jack Holder · VAS2*
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Anton Karlsson · VAS3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Joel Kling · DAC1*
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Sam Masters · VAS1*
- Vaclav Milik · DAC0
- Anton Karlsson · VAS3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS2*
- Joel Kling · DAC1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Jack Holder · VAS3
- Vaclav Milik · DAC2
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS1
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Sam Masters · VAS1
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC0
- Vaclav Milik · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC2*
- Jack Holder · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VASR
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Sam Masters · VAS2*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS3
- Sam Masters · VAS2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Jack Holder · VAS2*
- Vaclav Milik · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · DACR
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · DAC1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Joel Kling · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
- Jack Holder · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAS3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS1
- Vaclav Milik · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18–23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.3 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| VAS | DAC | VAS | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 2.6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Joel Kling | 4 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Mikkel B Jensen | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 3 | 6.1 | 1 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.