Lejonen vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 21, 2019 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Maksym Drabik1 2 3 1 310
- 2Kacper Woryna0 3 1 3 18+1
- 3Jarosław Hampel2 1 0 R3
- 4Nicolai Klindt0 0 3 3 06
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 3 2 06+1
- 6Tomas H Jonasson3 3 2 210+1
- 7Mathias Thörnblom2 1 25+2
- 1Fredrik Lindgren3 3 1 2 3 315
- 2Adrian Miedziński2 2 0 1 05+2
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 0 2 210+1
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 0 14+1
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 1 16
- 6Alexander Woentin0 0 00
- 7Linus Eklöf1 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · SME2*
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Tomas H Jonasson · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ0
- Tomas H Jonasson · LEJ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · SME2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Tomas H Jonasson · LEJ2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · SME0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2*
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJR
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Tomas H Jonasson · LEJ2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Adrian Miedziński · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16–24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LEJ | SME | LEJ | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas H Jonasson | 4 | 5.7 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 13.1 | 15 | +1.9 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.