Masarna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 21, 2019 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Antonio Lindbäck1 2 3 3 3 113+2
- 3Vadim Tarasenko2 0 0 02
- 4Oskar Fajfer3 3 1 310+1
- 5Kim Nilsson3 3 2 2 2 214+1
- 6Martin Smolinski2 1 1 15+3
- 7David Bellego3 0 3 1 2 09
- 1Oliver Berntzon0 2 1 3 3 312+1
- 2Jacob Thorssell2 2 0 0 1 27
- 3Vaclav Milik3 2 2 3 R 010
- 4Frederik Jakobsen1 1 1 2 0 16+2
- 6Joel Kling0 0 00
- 7Artur Czaja1 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Martin Smolinski · MAS2*
- Artur Czaja · DAC1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Vaclav Milik · DAC3
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1
- David Bellego · MAS0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1
- Artur Czaja · DAC0
- David Bellego · MAS3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Oskar Fajfer · MAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Vaclav Milik · DAC2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS0
- Oskar Fajfer · MAS3
- Vaclav Milik · DAC2
- Artur Czaja · DAC1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · MAS0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- David Bellego · MAS1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Vaclav Milik · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Oskar Fajfer · MAS1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- David Bellego · MAS2
- Martin Smolinski · MAS1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Vaclav Milik · DACR
- Oskar Fajfer · MAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1*
- David Bellego · MAS0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Vaclav Milik · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h NE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| MAS | DAC | MAS | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 5.6 | 10 | +4.4 |
| David Bellego | 6 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 13.5 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Martin Smolinski | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Artur Czaja | 3 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.