Piraterna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 7, 2019 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 2 112+1
- 2Paweł Przedpełski1 3 2 0 06+1
- 3Linus Sundstroem0 1 3 15
- 4Daniel Kaczmarek2 0 2 2 06+2
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 3 3 312
- 6Daniel Davidsson3 3 06
- 7Jonas Davidsson0 1 01
- 1Fredrik Lindgren2 3 3 3 314
- 2Pontus Aspgren0 2 1 1 26+2
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 0 03
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 1 15+1
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki2 0 2 2 1 29+1
- 6Adrian Miedziński1 FX 12+2
- 7Mateusz Szczepaniak2 0 13
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · SME2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · SME0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Adrian Miedziński · SMEFX
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · SME1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Adrian Miedziński · SME1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · PIR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 4–8 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 21 km/h W
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| PIR | SME | PIR | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Davidsson | 3 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 11.3 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.