Masarna vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 15, 2018 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 2 FX X5
- 2Linus Sundstroem2 2 0 3 18+3
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 1 210+1
- 4Kim Nilsson1 2 3 2 19+3
- 5Tai Woffinden2 2 1 2 29+1
- 6John LindmanF FX 00
- 7Adrian Cyfer3 3 17
- 1Grzegorz Zengota1 1 1 2 38
- 2Oskar Fajfer0 00
- 3Peter Ljung3 3 3 3 3 318
- 4Bartosz Smektała0 0 00
- 5Peter Kildemand3 1 1 2 1 08+1
- 6Mikkel B Jensen2 1 3 0 06
- 7Magnus Karlsson1 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAS1
- Oskar Fajfer · VAS0
- Adrian Cyfer · MAS3
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS2
- Magnus Karlsson · VAS1*
- John Lindman · MASF
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1*
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Peter Kildemand · VAS3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Magnus Karlsson · VAS1
- John Lindman · MASFX
- Adrian Cyfer · MAS3
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS2*
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAS1
- Oskar Fajfer · VAS0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Peter Kildemand · VAS1
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2*
- Peter Kildemand · VAS1
- Magnus Karlsson · VAS0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAS1
- John Lindman · MAS0
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS3
- Peter Kildemand · VAS2*
- Adrian Cyfer · MAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MASFX
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Tai Woffinden · MAS1*
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAS2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Peter Kildemand · VAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MASX
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAS3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS1*
- Mikkel B Jensen · VAS0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1*
- Peter Kildemand · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15–26 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| MAS | VAS | MAS | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 7.4 | 18 | +10.6 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 3.5 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Magnus Karlsson | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Mikkel B Jensen | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| John Lindman | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 10.0 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 12.2 | 9 | -3.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 5.0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.