Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, October 3, 2018 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren0 2 3 27+1
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 02
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 2 2 07+1
- 4Mikkel Michelsen3 2 3 3 314+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 1 3 313
- 6Pontus Aspgren1 2 1 04+1
- 7Linus Eklöf3 3 0 06
- 1Greg Hancock2 1 2 0 3 210+1
- 2Paweł Przedpełski3 0 03
- 3Maciej Janowski2 3 2 1 19+1
- 4Oliver Berntzon1 2 1 1 27+1
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 2 04
- 6Joel Kling0 0 1 12+2
- 7Hans Andersen2 R 02
Heat by heat
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · DAC2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME0
- Linus Eklöf · SME3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · DAC1
- Hans Andersen · DACR
- Linus Eklöf · SME3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Greg Hancock · DAC1
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · DAC1
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME3
- Greg Hancock · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · DAC2
- Joel Kling · DAC1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1
- Greg Hancock · DAC0
- Greg Hancock · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2*
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · DAC0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Joel Kling · DAC1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME3
- Greg Hancock · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 4–10 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SME | DAC | SME | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.1 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Joel Kling | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Hans Andersen | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.