Dackarna Målilla vs Eskilstuna Smederna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 25, 2018 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla

Results

DAC 44 : 46 SME

DAC

1Greg Hancock1 2 1 1 27+2
2Paweł Przedpełski0 2 02
3Oliver Berntzon3 0 0 1 15+1
4Maciej Janowski2 3 3 3 314+1
5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 0 0 02+1
6Hans Andersen3 3 1 2 X9
7Joel Kling2 1 25+2

SME

1Fredrik Lindgren3 1 3 0 310+1
2Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 2 2 08+2
3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 1 27+2
4Mikkel Michelsen0 3 1 3 29+1
5Niels Kristian Iversen0 2 3 3 19
6Linus EklöfR 0 00
7Pontus Aspgren1 1 13+1

Heat by heat

Heat 158.80 s1:5

Heat 259.20 s5:1

Hans Andersen · DAC3
Joel Kling · DAC2*
Pontus Aspgren · SME1
Linus Eklöf · SMER

Heat 359.10 s5:1

Heat 459.00 s5:1

Heat 558.80 s3:3

Heat 658.80 s3:3

Heat 758.70 s2:4

Heat 859.10 s3:3

Heat 958.90 s1:5

Heat 1059.60 s3:3

Heat 1159.20 s3:3

Heat 1259.60 s3:3

Heat 1359.40 s1:5

Heat 1459.80 s1:5

Heat 1559.90 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Clear → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 9–12 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 16 km/h W; gusts up to 35 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 54 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	DAC	SME	DAC	SME

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead DAC

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	0	64 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+8	94 %
6	+8	95 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+2	73 %
10	+2	70 %
11	+2	68 %
12	+2	73 %
13	-2	33 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Maciej Janowski	5	9.3	14	+4.7
Joel Kling	3	2.5	5	+2.5
Krzysztof Buczkowski	5	5.5	8	+2.5
Hans Andersen	5	7.4	9	+1.6
Mikkel Michelsen	5	7.4	9	+1.6
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	5.7	7	+1.3
Fredrik Lindgren	5	9.4	10	+0.6
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	8.7	9	+0.3
Pontus Aspgren	3	3.5	3	-0.5
Oliver Berntzon	5	5.9	5	-0.9
Paweł Przedpełski	3	4.4	2	-2.4
Linus Eklöf	3	2.5	0	-2.5
Greg Hancock	5	10.1	7	-3.1
Krzysztof Kasprzak	4	7.7	2	-5.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.9058.70 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 34.0:30.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source