Rospiggarna Sk vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 18, 2018 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Jason Doyle0 2 3 3 3 314
- 2Max Fricke3 X 0 2 27+1
- 3Andreas Jonsson1 2 1 0 0 15+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell0 00
- 5Robert Lambert0 1 01
- 6Tero Aarnio2 3 2 0 07+1
- 7Sam Masters3 1 04
- 1Fredrik Lindgren1 3 3 3 111+1
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 2 27+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 1 2 39+2
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 3 1 211+2
- 5Mikkel Michelsen1 3 2 1 07+2
- 6Linus Eklöf0 3 14+1
- 7Pontus Aspgren1 2 03
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1*
- Jason Doyle · ROS0
- Sam Masters · ROS3
- Tero Aarnio · ROS2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS1
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS0
- Tero Aarnio · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Robert Lambert · ROS0
- Linus Eklöf · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Sam Masters · ROS1
- Max Fricke · ROSX
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Jason Doyle · ROS2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1
- Max Fricke · ROS0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Tero Aarnio · ROS2
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2*
- Robert Lambert · ROS1
- Tero Aarnio · ROS0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Sam Masters · ROS0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Max Fricke · ROS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Robert Lambert · ROS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS1
- Tero Aarnio · ROS0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Max Fricke · ROS2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ROS | SME | ROS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -18 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tero Aarnio | 5 | 3.7 | 7 | +3.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Sam Masters | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.6 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Robert Lambert | 3 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.