Eskilstuna Smederna vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 11, 2018 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren2 3 3 3 FX11
- 2Mikkel Michelsen1 1 1 2 05+2
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 0 1 15+2
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 2 05+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen2 FX 2 1 16
- 6Linus Eklöf1 0 12+1
- 7Pontus Aspgren2 2 15
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 315
- 2Max Fricke0 0 2 3 27+2
- 3Andreas Jonsson3 2 1 0 39
- 4Jacob Thorssell0 3 0 03
- 5Robert Lambert3 3 2 2 212+1
- 6Gleb Chugunov3 R R3
- 7Tero Aarnio0 1 12
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Max Fricke · ROS0
- Gleb Chugunov · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Tero Aarnio · ROS0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS0
- Robert Lambert · ROS3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2
- Tero Aarnio · ROS1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Gleb Chugunov · ROSR
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1*
- Max Fricke · ROS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS0
- Robert Lambert · ROS3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Tero Aarnio · ROS1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Max Fricke · ROS2*
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SMEFX
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Robert Lambert · ROS2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Gleb Chugunov · ROSR
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Robert Lambert · ROS2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Max Fricke · ROS2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Robert Lambert · ROS2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Fredrik Lindgren · SMEFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–15 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h S
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 8.1 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| SME | ROS | SME | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.7 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Tero Aarnio | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.1 | 6 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.