Eskilstuna Smederna vs Kumla Indianerna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 4, 2018 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna

Results

SME 55 : 35 IND

SME

1Fredrik Lindgren3 0 14+1
2Mikkel Michelsen0 3 3 1 310
3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 1 3 19+2
4Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 2 2 211+2
5Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 3 1 210+2
6Linus Eklöf0 1 12+2
7Pontus Aspgren3 2 2 29+1

IND

1Tai Woffinden1 2 3 2 0 311+1
2Ludvig Lindgren2 0 R 1 14
3Anders Thomsen1 1 02+1
4Piotr ProtasiewiczFX F0
5Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 3 3 014
6Victor Palovaara2 1 0 0 03
7Christoffer Selvin1 0 01+1

Heat by heat

Heat 161.40 s3:3

Heat 260.40 s3:3

Heat 360.50 s5:1

Heat 460.40 s3:3

Heat 560.90 s5:1

Heat 660.50 s4:2

Heat 760.30 s3:3

Heat 859.50 s3:3

Heat 959.40 s3:3

Heat 1060.10 s3:3

Heat 1158.70 s5:1

Heat 1259.80 s4:2

Heat 1359.40 s3:3

Heat 1459.40 s5:1

Heat 1559.60 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 15–22 °C; Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Wind: 6 km/h N; gusts up to 15 km/h; Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 64 %; Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	12	6	+6	−6
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	SME	IND	SME	IND

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead SME

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+8	94 %
6	+10	97 %
7	+10	97 %
8	+10	98 %
9	+10	97 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+14	100 %
12	+16	100 %
13	+16	100 %
14	+20	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Krzysztof Buczkowski	5	6.4	11	+4.6
Pontus Aspgren	4	5.1	9	+3.9
Kenneth Bjerre	6	10.6	14	+3.4
Mikkel Michelsen	5	8.2	10	+1.8
Ludvig Lindgren	5	2.5	4	+1.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	9.1	9	-0.1
Linus Eklöf	3	2.5	2	-0.5
Victor Palovaara	5	3.7	3	-0.7
Christoffer Selvin	3	2.5	1	-1.5
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	11.7	10	-1.7
Tai Woffinden	6	13.4	11	-2.4
Anders Thomsen	3	4.4	2	-2.4
Fredrik Lindgren	3	6.4	4	-2.4
Piotr Protasiewicz	2	3.4	0	-3.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.4058.70 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 25.0:39.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −0.87 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source