Kumla Indianerna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 15, 2018 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Vaclav Milik1 2 3 2 1 312+1
- 2Bjarne Pedersen2 1 0 03+1
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 1 2 1 210+1
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 0 00
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 1 0 04
- 6Victor Palovaara2 0 02
- 7Ludvig Lindgren1 2 1 04+1
- 1Fredrik Lindgren3 3 3 3 214
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs0 1 2 14+1
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 3 315
- 4Mikkel Michelsen1 3 1 05
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 2 18+4
- 6Alexander Woentin0 0 00
- 7Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 3 19
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND2
- Vaclav Milik · IND1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1*
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · IND0
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1*
- Victor Palovaara · IND0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND2
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND1*
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · IND0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Vaclav Milik · IND2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND1
- Adrian Miedziński · IND0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND1
- Victor Palovaara · IND0
- Vaclav Milik · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1
- Alexander Woentin · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Vaclav Milik · IND2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2*
- Vaclav Milik · IND1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Vaclav Milik · IND3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16–28 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h E
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| IND | SME | IND | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -18 | 0 % |
| 14 | -20 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.2 | 15 | +5.8 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Victor Palovaara | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.