Eskilstuna Smederna vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 14, 2018 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren2 3 3 3 314
- 2Mikkel MichelsenR R 1 1 35
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 2 0 28+2
- 4Pontus AspgrenR R 00
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 27+2
- 6Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 3 1 110+2
- 7Linus Eklöf1 1 13
- 1Tai Woffinden3 3 3 3 214
- 2Kacper Gomolski1 1 0 02
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 3 0 X8
- 4Anders Thomsen1 3 0 2 FX6+1
- 5Vaclav Milik3 0 2 1 17+1
- 6Jonatan Grahn0 2 02+1
- 7Victor Palovaara2 R 13
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · IND3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Kacper Gomolski · IND1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SMER
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · IND2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Anders Thomsen · IND1
- Pontus Aspgren · SMER
- Vaclav Milik · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1*
- Victor Palovaara · INDR
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2*
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SMER
- Tai Woffinden · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Kacper Gomolski · IND1
- Pontus Aspgren · SMER
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Anders Thomsen · IND0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Victor Palovaara · IND1
- Vaclav Milik · IND0
- Tai Woffinden · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1*
- Kacper Gomolski · IND0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Vaclav Milik · IND2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1*
- Kacper Gomolski · IND0
- Tai Woffinden · IND3
- Anders Thomsen · IND2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME2*
- Vaclav Milik · IND1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · IND2
- Vaclav Milik · IND1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · INDX
- Anders Thomsen · INDFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–20 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.3 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 3 | +5 | −5 | |
| SME | IND | SME | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.9 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Victor Palovaara | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.