Rospiggarna Sk vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 7, 2018 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 2 3 111+1
- 2Sam Masters1 1 1 03+1
- 3Andreas Jonsson0 1 R R1+1
- 4Max Fricke1 2 3 0 28
- 5Robert Lambert1 1 02
- 6Tero Aarnio1 0 0 23
- 7Jacob Thorssell3 3 1 2 110+1
- 1Greg Hancock3 3 2 2 010+2
- 2Hans Andersen0 00
- 3Patryk Dudek2 0 3 1 39+2
- 4Oliver Berntzon3 2 2 3 111
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 3 2 312+1
- 6Joel Kling2 0 02
- 7Paweł Przedpełski0 3 1 3 18+1
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · ROS2
- Sam Masters · ROS1*
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS3
- Joel Kling · DAC2
- Tero Aarnio · ROS1
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Max Fricke · ROS1
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS0
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Robert Lambert · ROS1
- Tero Aarnio · ROS0
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Sam Masters · ROS1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Greg Hancock · DAC3
- Max Fricke · ROS2
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS1*
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC2
- Sam Masters · ROS1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ROSR
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · DAC2*
- Robert Lambert · ROS1
- Tero Aarnio · ROS0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · ROS2
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS1*
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS2
- Paweł Przedpełski · DAC1
- Max Fricke · ROS0
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · DAC2*
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS1
- Andreas Jonsson · ROSR
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Robert Lambert · ROS0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Tero Aarnio · ROS2
- Oliver Berntzon · DAC1
- Sam Masters · ROS0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Max Fricke · ROS2
- Jason Doyle · ROS1*
- Greg Hancock · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h S
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ROS | DAC | ROS | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Tero Aarnio | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Hans Andersen | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Robert Lambert | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 7.1 | 1 | -6.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.