Masarna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 7, 2018 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Antonio Lindbäck2 3 3 3 213
- 2Joel Andersson1 2 0 14+1
- 3Kim Nilsson2 3 3 3 112
- 4Artur Czaja1 2 2 1 06+3
- 5Linus Sundstroem3 1 0 0 15+1
- 6Emil Millberg1 R 01+1
- 7Jesper Persson2 1 14+1
- 1Fredrik Lindgren3 1 2 0 39+1
- 2Andzejs LebedevsR R 33
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 3 2 1 011+2
- 4Mikkel Michelsen0 3 1 2 39+1
- 5Pontus Aspgren2 1 2 2 29+1
- 6Alexander WoentinM0
- 7Linus Eklöf3 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Joel Andersson · MAS1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SMER
- Linus Eklöf · SME3
- Jesper Persson · MAS2
- Emil Millberg · MAS1*
- Alexander Woentin · SMEM
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Artur Czaja · MAS1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Emil Millberg · MASR
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Joel Andersson · MAS2
- Jesper Persson · MAS1*
- Alexander Woentin · SMEN
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Artur Czaja · MAS2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SMER
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Artur Czaja · MAS2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2*
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Jesper Persson · MAS1
- Alexander Woentin · SMEN
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Artur Czaja · MAS1
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Joel Andersson · MAS1
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1
- Artur Czaja · MAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17–24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| MAS | SME | MAS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Jesper Persson | 3 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Emil Millberg | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 12.2 | 9 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.