Lejonen vs Masarna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 31, 2018 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Kacper Woryna1 0 2 1 15+1
- 2Rohan Tungate3 3 3 3 214
- 3Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 2 313+1
- 4Maksym Drabik1 1 2 3 29+3
- 5Mathias Thörnblom2 1 0 03
- 6Viktor Bergström3 1 04+1
- 7Alexander Edberg1 0 01
- 1Antonio Lindbäck2 3 3 1 09
- 2John Lindman0 0 11+1
- 3Kim Nilsson2 1 2 2 3 111+2
- 4Joel Andersson0 2 2 0 04
- 5Linus Sundstroem3 1 3 2 312+1
- 6Jesper Persson0 1 12+1
- 7Emil Millberg2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- John Lindman · MAS0
- Viktor Bergström · LEJ3
- Emil Millberg · MAS2
- Alexander Edberg · LEJ1
- Jesper Persson · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LEJ3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ1
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Viktor Bergström · LEJ1*
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Joel Andersson · MAS2
- Jesper Persson · MAS1*
- Alexander Edberg · LEJ0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LEJ2
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ1*
- John Lindman · MAS0
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Joel Andersson · MAS2
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LEJ3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2*
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Viktor Bergström · LEJ0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Jesper Persson · MAS1
- Alexander Edberg · LEJ0
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- John Lindman · MAS1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LEJ2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS2*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1*
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LEJ3
- Maksym Drabik · LEJ2*
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24–31 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h S
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LEJ | MAS | LEJ | MAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Viktor Bergström | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Joel Andersson | 5 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| John Lindman | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Emil Millberg | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Alexander Edberg | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Jesper Persson | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 10.3 | 5 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.